I may have the same issue. I am trying to install an application that uses AIR, and it produces that same popup. I can't tell where the system requirements link goes to, as I do not have a sniffer. I do know that after some redirects I end up on https://www.adobe.com/ca/index2.html. Note that I am located in Canada. I did find an AIR installer and ran it. The install log has several examples of 404 for http://airdownload.adobe.com/air/3/nai/windows10.0/x86/installer I can confirm that if I enter this same URL into FF I get a 404 My system is Windows 10. I've confirmed that all my Windows updates are up to date.
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